The Senate is still up for grabs. With the end of October nearing, here are the predictions for each state with those Senate seats up for election, per FiveThirtyEight. GOP Sen. Ron Johnson is running for a third term making him the only Republican seeking reelection in a state President Biden won in 2020. Copy Code. That advice reflects a recognition among digital campaign staffers that text and email programs have gone from innovative to out of hand, to the point that its harming the campaign ecosystem. Collins (R-Ga.) has not formally announced that Phillips, 36, will be his chief of staff, but three Georgia Republican congressional staffers told POLITICO he has been selected for the job. We believe a Republican gain of 15 to 25 seats is most likely, but it wouldn't be terribly surprising if the Toss Ups broke mostly their way, pushing GOP gains even higher., Kondiks final prediction: Republicans +24 seats. Amid a slate of failed gubernatorial pickup attempts, this was the only governorship Republicans flipped in the 2022 elections, as well as the only governorship in a state carried by one party in the prior presidential election to flip to the other . 2023 Electoral Ventures LLC. Republicans are poised to return to power in Washington and be the brake pedal on a Biden agenda. NEW YORK Gov. American politics has been a stalemate between the two parties for nearly 30 years. 2. ET, November 10, 2022 CNN. But the Senate is firmly up for grabs. You can read his breakdowns of the Senate and gubernatorial races, but we want to dig into the House forecasts this morning. After Trump attempted to use the courts to change the results of the 2020 election, many Republicans borrowed a page from that playbook. CLOSING TIME Democrats look to centrists in final hours while GOP amps up its base, by WaPos Annie Linskey, Cara McGoogan and Colby Itkowitz, For Republicans: As Republican candidates make their final appeal in key states, theyre tapping some of the most polarizing figures in their party and turning to messages centered on cultural division and at times pushing racial discord., For Democrats: At the same time, many Democrats are scrambling to highlight more moderate themes, overlooking the far left of their party and bringing in surrogates who appeal to middle-of-the-road voters, including former president Bill Clinton, Transportation Secretary PETE BUTTIGIEG and Sen. AMY KLOBUCHAR (Minn.)., Confidence, Anxiety and a Scramble for Votes Two Days Before the Midterms, by NYTs Lisa Lerer, Jennifer Medina and Jonathan Weisman in Delaware County, Pa.: As candidates sprinted across the country to make their closing arguments to voters, Republicans entered the final stretch of the race confident they would win control of the House and possibly the Senate. Uzoma Nkwonta is several thousand feet in the air aboard an American Airlines flight heading back to D.C. still in the navy suit and Calvin Klein loafers he wore to court that day when he opens his laptop to discover his client had won his lawsuit against the state of Georgia. The highly anticipated results announced Thursday in Maricopa County Superior Court are among the last in the country to come out of Novembers election and solidified another victory for Democrats who shunned election fraud conspiracies in what used to be a solidly Republican state. All Rights Reserved. Josh Shapiro and Wes Moore Are Ready To Step Up, McDaniel vs. Dhillon: Inside the battle for the RNC, Election deniers set sights on next target. | Mary Altaffer/AP Photo. More than 50 Democratic and Republican elected officials, campaign aides and consultants took POLITICO inside the first campaign after the Supreme Court's landmark ruling. Tiny changes in vote totals create massive changes in the ideological direction of those institutions Trump vs. Biden, KEVIN McCARTHY vs. NANCY PELOSI. Trumps election supposedly meant the end of the Democratic Partys presidential prospects. You've successfully subscribed to this newsletter! The duo also got the deets on how Trump landed on Ron DeSanctimonious as a new nickname for the governor: some people close to him said the decision to cast Mr. DeSantis as hypocritically pious solidified itself after the governors team released a video Friday aimed at infusing his candidacy with a sense of the divine., Our colleagues Matt Dixon and Gary Fineout write from Miami that Trump largely held his fire on Sunday night. Now there is evidence that the demographic change spurred by Republicans and Democrats divergent responses to the pandemic likely cost Republicans a number of key seats in the 2022 midterms. 50-50 tie decided by Vice-President (VP). SPOTTED: Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen and husband George Akerlof having an early Saturday lunch at Petes New Haven Style Apizza in Tenleytown. And the fallout, fueled by cross-country migration and even the Covid death toll, could linger into 2024 and beyond. And yet, over the last several years, Republicans steadily chipped away at their advantage. The jury may still be out on the final makeup of the House and Senate but these three takeaways from Tuesday night's results are in view. December 5:Georgia runoff moves from Toss-up to Leans Democratic. The working-class must stay a Republican group in order to combat Bidens faux America First rhetoric, The Washington Post Data from the U.S. The sleek and navigable design offers a convenient way to access POLITICO's scoops and groundbreaking reporting. Share with a Friend! The Republican Jewish Coalition on Tuesday condemned Rep.-elect George Santos after he admitted to lying about key details of his credentials and misrepresenting his Jewish heritage. There was no red wave, but more of a red ripple. But in an election fueled by inflation, other issues struggle to break through., RALSTONS NEVADA PREDICTIONS Crystal ball says Cortez Masto hangs on, Sisolak doesnt and Dems retain two of three House seats, by the Nevada Independents Jon Ralston. Get to know all the movers and shakers in Westminster and never miss a beat of British politics with a free subscription. A consensus outlook for the 2022 Senate elections based on the current ratings of these seven forecasters. There are 26 seats rated as Toss Up races where neither party has a significant advantage. See all our US midterms 2022 coverage. A GOP sweep of those Toss Up races would represent a gain of nearly 30 seats, and its not unusual for one party to win the lions share of competitive contests. We must, as a party, oppose all racism and prejudice, and condemn those who accept and endorse it, which includes inviting neo-nazis [sic] to dinner.. Please help update this article to reflect recent events or newly available information. But the driver was an African American gentleman. Use this as a starting point to create and share your own 2022 Senate forecast. We call upon Congress and demand Congress conduct a House ethics investigation into George Santos, Robert Zimmerman, a Democrat who lost to his opponent by a 54 to 46 percent margin in November, said Thursday. Here's a look at all 529 forecasts combined, including our presidential forecasts plus the Deluxe version of our congressional forecasts. Christie noted that Walker was the only Republican running statewide in Georgia to lose this year. Its a fairly normal reaction to two of the trends that define our political era: hyper-polarization and partisan parity. Despite not formally endorsing DeSantis for reelection, he said the governor should be reelected. Before the actual votes are counted on December 8, 2022 and we know for real who has won and who has lost in this #BattleForTheStates, News18 gives you a glimpse into what could be in store in the EVMs. Democratic Rep. Marie Gluesenkamp Perez was a stunning winner in the 2022 midterms. Thanks for reading Playbook. A consensus outlook for the 2022 Senate elections based on the current ratings of these seven forecasters . More in 2022 Election. The House of Representatives remains undecided, but Democrats have retained control of the Senate. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, The final 2022 Senate race ratings fromCook Political Report. We value on-the-ground sourcing above everything else. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed. With the Republican Party projected to win a slim majority in the US House of Representatives and Nancy Pelosi stepping down from the Democratic . His first official act upon taking office earlier this month was unusual: The Republican fulfilled a campaign promise by withdrawing Alabama from an obscure interstate compact that helps states maintain voter rolls, citing data security concerns. It was, in other words, meant to look presidential. Republican gubernatorial nominee DOUG MASTRIANO, who has struggled to fundraise and largely been abandoned by national Republicans over far-right ties, is poised to lose to [JOSH] SHAPIRO., For Fetterman, Campaign Trail Doubles as Road to Recovery, by NYTs Katie Glueck in Collegeville, Pa.: In the final days of the extraordinary Pennsylvania Senate race, in which a stroke survivor is running against a celebrity television physician, [JOHN] FETTERMAN is proactively acknowledging that his recovery remains a work in progress, leaning into the issue with a mix of humor, sarcasm and notes of empathy for others struggling with health challenges, as he competes in one of the most consequential contests in the nation., GET SMART ON THE GOV RACES A guide to every key governors race on Tuesday, by Zach Montellaro, NEW YORK STATE OF MIND Kathy Hochuls campaign to prove her place in New York, by WaPos Ruby Cramer: In a state of brutal machine politics and big, strange, beguiling personalities, KATHY HOCHUL keeps an understated profile, making the governor an unlikely fit for 2022. But rarely has a rift at the top of a party spilled so fully into view at such a pivotal moment, NYTs Michael Bender and Patricia Mazzei write. 2022 House Election Forecasts These maps reflect the ratings of a number of quantitative and qualitative forecasters, as well as some consensus projections. WEEKEND WEDDING Jim Warren, a government affairs, strategy and development analyst at Martin Marietta, and Madeleine Fennell, marketing and accounting manager at Emily Daws Textiles, recently got married in Charleston, S.C.. Pic Another pic SPOTTED: Sen. Tim Scott (R-S.C.), Rep. Dan Bishop (R-N.C.), Jo Bishop, Saat Alety, Shay Hawkins, Alex Smith, John Partin, Lucas West, Kirsten West, Jude Al-hmoud and Clara Cargile. The success of past predictions can be checked via our Search box. Heres what Trump said: Youre going to reelect the wonderful, the great friend of mine MARCO RUBIO to the United States Senate, and you are going to reelect Ron DeSantis as your governor., BUT WHOS COUNTING Trump Is Calling Republicans to Ask How Many Times Theyll Impeach Biden, by Rolling Stones Asawin Suebsaeng and Patrick Reis, NEWS ANALYSIS Trump May Pose a Test No Special Counsel Can Pass, by NYTs Katie Benner: Should Mr. Trump declare his candidacy, legal experts say that investigating a sitting presidents top political opponent in a coming election could present more of a conflict for Bidens Justice Department than it has so far faced in its investigations..
